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Then again there are other factors, e.g.
3 - never time the market
- unless you know what you are buying. plenty of people do this successfully
6 - Index funds out performs trying to pick best stocks in the long run
-on average perhaps, but not for everyone.
Do you mean index funds usually outperform managed funds?
Even if you think what you are doing, as Warren Buffet has proven, index funds out performs trying to pick stocks to buy and sell. You probably know the $1 mil bet that i am referring to.
Considering that OP has no idea....would you encourage him to pick stocks himself? That just doesn't make sense. For every person who day trade to be a millionaire, there are many more who loses everything. The shorter and the more specific way you trade, the more risk you are exposing yourself to.
As for using a fund manager. WB has proved that also isn't the best idea.
I mean use a fund manager if you want, everything about investment has it's risk but for someone who doesn't know, the best thing for a layman to do is just use an index fund. You could also apply the 60/40 rule (stocks/bond). If you want but putting every penny on Tesla is hell risky, vs say buying index fund on the NASDAQ.
It is your money and your responsibility, and investing your money has risks associated with it.
https://www.thefretboard.co.uk/discussion/202071/nco
You could have bought a US index tracker in April 2020, in the belief that the market had bottomed out. That would be "timing the market", but would not be "trying to pick the best stocks"
Certainly I would not advise OP to being with stocks, but I do challenge the idea that investing equal chunks over a long period is always the best thing to do. We've had discussions about this before, and there are plenty of times when it would be a bad idea. Also for the matter - staying invested (i.e. not in cash) all the time is also not always a great idea
I know what timing the market is, but the point is Point 1. And I disagree about staying invested. The general consenses is stick with it, that is the long term goal. i.e. Donald Trump would be a much much richer man had he put all his money from his inheritance into the S&P500 vs trying his hand at all kinds of failed businesses.
If your tactic is short term then just go to Vegas.
Stay invested, diversify, dollar cost average, and keep at it.
Secondly, have you got "rainy day savings" somewhere already?? It's usually reckoned that you should have easy access to an account(s), where you have the equivalent of 6 to 9 months pay. This is where a Savings Account, or possibly Premium Bonds, are needed. Be very aware that the interest on savings accounts, whilst higher now, is still way below the inflation rate (10.1% at present), so sadly you and I have to accept that the downside of easy access is that any such money is dwindling in value.
If you can, other things being equal, plan to put some of the money away in the long term, then investing it in a modest number of funds - say you use £20,000, then you could put it into 4 or 5 funds. Depending on your income and tax position, then whether you use an ISA now, or not, is something for you to work out.
At the present time, stock markets around the world are significantly lower than they were at the start of the year. It is possible that they may go even lower, but you never know where the bottom of the market is until after the event. I've actually been adding to some of my own holdings earlier this week on the basis that I've had dividend income mount up this year, and I'd rather reinvest the money to up my dividend return and hopefully long term capital return; as a long term investor, I'm not worried about suffering a bit of capital loss in the short term should the markets fall a bit further.
Mitch Ray on you tube is brilliant and has tutorial videos.
The emotional side of investing is also v important and well worth swotting up on that.
Fascinating subject and reduces risk significantly with those two combined.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4471728-getting-in-at-the-worst-time
Conclusion:
"Based on history, it pays (quite literally) to begin investing ASAP, and to keep investing in the market as often as possible... even in the worst case scenario where the market crashes right after you start to invest. History shows that by investing early, you do ~10.3% better on average than you'd do if you saved your money and only started to invest from the lowest month of the past three bear markets. On the other hand, flawless market timing (Scenario 3 in my example) only earns ~3.1% more money than the investor who starts investing right before the crash. Although investors may be wary because markets are at all-time highs, history has shown that investing early and often is generally the best approach - even if you start right in front of a bear market."Do you have some empirical evidence to show that market timing and dipping in and out the market to cash can outperform remaining invested?
Also, fees are a big consideration, some mutual funds have fees many factors higher than low cost index funds, which will eat into gains enormously over the long run. Trading and marking timing can also incur fees the impact of which the long term effect may not be apparent.
Investing some time into self learning on financial matters, budgeting, pensions, tax, borrowing cost analysis etc pays dividends
https://youtu.be/6RzO26Sxsug
https://www.hsbc.co.uk/savings/products/online-bonus-saver/
Interest capped at 3% up to 10K on months with no withdrawals, nice to run alongside the Barclays rainy day saver.
It reminds of a a similar test I came across on the BBC website several years ago which was a test of basic arithmetic, which apparently 60% of people couldn't manage to work out correctly. It's worrying that people can complete their schooling, and fail to be taught and understand simple maths, which is vital to managing your own life.
You can throw it all into Index Funds, ISA, Savings account, or take a chance with Premium Bonds, or buy a Rolex, bottle of Whisky, vintage guitar or even a piece of art or crypto. Hell, anything can appreciate value if you are willing to take a risk. I have a book that i paid £40 for that is worth £800 now because it's out of print!
Personally, while I still check my Vanguard account once every couple of weeks, I don't time the market, i just buy some as often as I can. I won't be buying this month, not because i am trying to time the market, but because i bought a flight and paying off any credit card bill trumps and investments. Overall, i am not trying to beat the 10% inflation, rather thinking about that, it's more believing that historical evidence about consistent investing is the way to go and go with it.