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I worry about both Jimmy and Woody breaking down, it's not outside the realms of possibility.
But it's Thursday and the first day of the Lords test, the second test as it used to be and I'm looking forward to it.
It's remarkable that a few tons in county cricket gets you into an international side after years of poor form but taking wickets all winter against the best Test side in the world and having an average under 30 as a Test spinner is not enough to keep you in a Test side. What's more, you can lose that slow bowling slot to a guy who has not played many Tests in recent years because he lost form and this winter we're in Australia, a place where that same off-spinner was utterly destroyed...
We're in deep shit. But so are lots of other sides. Hilarious to see Harry Gurney on Twitter talking of the Hundred and how we needed to utilise more 2nd XI and league cricketers because that's what Australia do and their Big Bash is producing great players. It really isn't and Gurney's comments came after the Aussie T20 side had been beaten by Bangladesh and been dismissed for a measly 62.
Noting that our top six batsmen are all privately educated. Also noting that our state school representatives are all bowlers from the Midlands and the North (Ali, Wood, Anderson) and the two privately educated bowlers are both from the South (Robinson did debut for Yorkshire but born in Margate and educated at King's School in Canterbury, Curran is ex Wellington College in Berkshire). In 2005 we used 12 players all series against Australia and our private school reps were KP (private SA school), Simon Jones (Millfield), Ian Bell (Princethorpe College) and Strauss (Radley College).
Of our top 20 Test wicket takers, only Broad was privately educated. Bob Willis attended a grammar school that became fee paying after he left.
Of our top 20 Test run scorers: Cook, Root, Gower, KP, Atherton, Bell Cowdrey Strauss, Hussain are definites. Hobbs went to a fee paying school but I can't find out much about it as it's long been abolished and I'm not convinced it's fee paying in the same way Eton and Tonbridge are. He also had a job as a cleaner before school hours and the money went back into the family so it's arguable that he contributed financially to his own education. Either way, it's pretty stark when you compare educational backgrounds of our top bowlers versus batsmen.
As for the toss- whoops. Looks like a decent batting surface. Root has had a mare.
I have no problem with playing Moeen ahead of Leach. His best performances came against India in England and he's a more attacking bowler.
Really not convinced by Sam Curran though. He looked horribly exposed as part of a four-man attack in the previous Test and he has leaked runs again here. Why not play a batting all-rounder instead?
They say that you can't judge a wicket until both sides have batted on it but I fear we could be our usual 65-3 chasing 400 if Kohli gets going.
With Crawley, his Test figures and overall FC figures are so similar. The average, the strike rate, the 50 to 100 conversion rate. Even something like the number of balls faced per innings (53.38 in Tests, 52.22 in all FC cricket). It really suggests that all he has done is take his county performance level into the Test arena and there's really been little improvement. Oddly it's a bit like another Kent chap, Rob Key: big double ton, 15 Tests, looks the part at times but can't truly step up.
https://www.espncricinfo.com/player/zak-crawley-665053
https://www.espncricinfo.com/player/rob-key-15876
Curran is usually good for a jolly 20 or 30 batting at number 8, but is that really enough to justify a place in the side when his bowling is going at more than four an over?
let’s see Moeen take 5for the, swing as it’s Lords
If you're just selecting one over the other based on bowling, then their home strike rates are 51.7 and 52.2 respectively and their averages are 32.8 and 28 (MA v JL). Moeen being selected is all about two disciplines, not one. Leach not playing potentially this whole summer is down to weather and our pisspoor batting lineup.
Incredibly bored today of people quoting KL Rahul's lack of first class cricket. Suspect that's going to be the going line for ages now justifying the continual fucking of FC cricket by the ECB.
Good to see Tom Harrison out on the media rounds today after George Dobell called him out on his absence. Even better to say Harrison making shithouse excuses for mismanagement at all opportunities.
Moeen: 12 Tests, 336 runs at 16.
Leach: 16 Tests, 277 runs at 13.
One might also argue that in that time, Leach has played two innings that were absolutely pivotal to England winning a Test match. Moeen might have but one isn't jumping out at me immediately.
With the ball, it's a different matter if you go by bare statistics.
Moeen: 12 Tests, 56 wickets at 26.41
Leach: 16 Tests, 62 wickets at 29.98
Taken upfront, you'd go Moeen but you have to look at the teams he played against in that time. Of those 12 Tests Moeen has played, he was indeed fabulous against India at home in 2018. Against the top sides since then... he's been generally quite absent. He didn't play the whole series in India and he got annihilated in Australia. You look at his overall career record and he averages nearly 65 against Australia and 61 against New Zealand. True, Leach averages 66 against NZ after his first taste of how shit NZ wickets are for slow bowlers but you look at career averages of 25, 28, and 26 against Australia, India, and Sri Lanka and there's a consistency there to his bowling.
Conversely the only nations Moeen averages under 30 against with the ball are SA, Bangladesh, and Ireland.
So if it's a straight 'let's pick the best spinner', Moeen doesn't have an outright case for being ahead of Leach. it should also be remembered that Moeen wasn't in the First Test squad. One wonders why they're bothering to make Dom Bess go through all the squad hoop jumping.
Interesting on the bowling front: he's come in and looked the part at 27. Graeme Swann memorably came in young, got chucked, and came back much older and fitted into Test cricket. We dropped older folk like Denly and brought in younger ones who have struggled far more than Denly did. Australia's one big batting newbie success of the last few years: an older player in Marnus Labuschagne. Devon Conway for NZ: come in as an older player, takes to international cricket superbly.
England on the other hand: the young uns have had trouble. Crawley and Sibley obviously, Dan Lawrence, even Curran now and Bess. Too much too young, as someone once sang?